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While playing, the player must be aware that the Ace-King suited is a strong hand, though not the best one that he could get. It ranks third among the 169 cards that could be bet. Based on these facts, it is thus understood that at this stage, it provides 68. 6% chance to win the hand. However, in spite of having such a strong hand, the player must not opt to declare himself ‘All-in’ and therefore, undoubtedly the player must not opt to fold his hand too. This explains that the player’s reaction is somewhere between ‘All-in’ and ‘fold’.  It is possible to get an Ace-high straight or Ace-high flush, because of the pocket hands. Besides, there is a chance of landing a top pair either with the player’s King or Ace, accompanied with a kicker card.

There is a chance that none of the above hands appear. In that case, it is prudent to raise a bet, so that the player can get rid of his weak hands.  In case, the player doesn’t get a straight or a flush, then he will have to get a pair of Kings or Aces for winning the hand.  There may be times when the players get neither flush nor straight and additionally if he is not able to get the King or Ace pair, then the best alternative is to raise bet to 1500 chips, rather than actually taking chance over the whole chips. Even if no other players raised a bet after the bet using 1500 chips, then the player will be at least cautious in making use of any further chips, after observing the previous flop.  On the other hand, if the player gets raised, then it is up to him to take the decision of either raising a bet or folding. However, this in turn will put his tournament chances and chip stack in risk!

The Texas Holdem pocket card probabilities are given below.

1. There is around 6% probability of getting pocket pair, which includes 9 diamonds and 9 clubs.
2. Very rarely, when a player gets pocket Kings, his opponent may get pocket Aces. Mathematically, its probability is 0.0004%.
3. There is approximately 24% probability of getting two pocket cards belonging to same suit.
4. In some cases, the player may get either pocket Kings or pocket Aces like King-Spades, King-Hearts or Ace-Clubs, Ace-Spades. It holds a probability of around 0.9%.
5. Mathematically, the probability of having Jacks or other better pocket cards is around 9%.
6. The probability of obtaining successive suited pocket cards such as Ace-Hearts or King-Hearts hand is about 4%.
7. A player, who is already having an Ace-King pocket duo, has an adequate chance of getting another King or Ace by ‘river’ card. Probability of this event is around 50%.
8. There is a probability of 1.2% in getting pocket Ace-King unsuited: For example King-Clubs, Ace-Diamonds etc.
9. Getting pocket Ace-King suited such as King-Hearts, Ace-Hearts is rare and consequently its probability is about 0.3%.
10. There is a probability of about 16% in obtaining one pocket Ace, like 4 Clubs or Ace-Spades.
11. The probability of getting either pocket Aces, pocket Jacks, pocket Queens, or pocket Kings, is about 1.8 %.
12. There are chances that using a ‘river’ card, a player’s pocket Queens is sustaining against his rival player pocket Ace-King.  This is the highest probable event with a probability of approximately 56%.

Using the above card probabilities, a player can act wisely and win the Texas Holdem tournament.

1. There is a chance that another player makes a straight by the river, when 3 cards are flopped to a straight. It is nothing but performing a back door straight, which is otherwise called ‘runner-runner’. It has the least possibility of 1.5 % of occurrence.

1. There is a possibility of nearly 17% that the player’s opponent holds a set of 2 cards, which are paired on the board and simultaneously having totally two players in the hand.

1. There is a possibility of nearly 26% that the player’s opponent holds a set of 2 cards, which are paired on the board and simultaneously having totally three players in the hand.

1. There is a possibility of nearly 34% that the player’s opponent holds a set of 2 cards, which are paired on the board and simultaneously having totally four players in the hand.

1. There is a possibility of nearly 43% that the player’s opponent holds a set of 2 cards, which are paired on the board and simultaneously having totally five players in the hand.

1. There is a chance of holding a Gutshot straight draw improved to a straight by the river.  The possibility of this event is about 17%.

1. When 3 cards are flopped to a flush, which is nothing but a back door flush, there is a chance that flush is also made by the river card. There are nearly 4% chances of occurrence of this event.

1. There is a chance that the player’s opponent owns an Ace in his hand while 1 is placed on the board and there are five players in the hand. Probability of this event is nearly 58%.

1. There is a chance that the player’s opponent owns an Ace in his hand while 1 is placed on the board and there are four players in the hand. Probability of this event is nearly 47%.

1. There is a chance that the player’s opponent owns an Ace in his hand while 1 is placed on the board and there are three players in the hand. Probability of this event is nearly 35%.

1. There is a chance that the player’s opponent owns an Ace in his hand while 1 is placed on the board and there are two players in the hand. Probability of this event is nearly 23%.

1. There is a possibility of 13% where another player obtains an Ace on the river or turn, when the player holds one in the hand and misses on the flop.

1. The most probable event would be nothing but performing flop of an open-ended straight flush and getting either a straight or a flush, making use of a river card and it has an odd of around 54%.

1. In some cases, 4 cards are flopped to a flush and the flush is received by river card. The probability of this event is around 39%.

1. After getting hold of a pocket pair, a set may be flopped. This is one of the least probable events with a probability of about 9%.

1. There is a chance that the set may be flopped while holding the pocket pair. It has an odd of around 12%.

1. It so happens that while having 2 suited cards, two other of the same suit get flops, the probability of this event is about 11%.

1. The player can at times, flop two pairs and receives full house using the river card. This event has an odd of 17%.

1. It is at times possible, to flop a pair and wind up with two pairs of “three-of-a-kind”, using the river card and its probability is around 22%.

1. A pair can be flopped while retaining cards of 2 dissimilar ranks. This event holds an odd of about 32%.

1. There is a probability of around 34%, that an open ended straight is flopped and the straight is received by river card.

1. Lastly, there is a decent chance of flopping “three-of-a-kind” and then receiving a “four-of-a-kind” or a “full house”, by the river card. This event has an odd of about 37%.

Players are advised to learn by heart all the above probabilities, so that they will be able to make appropriate decisions like whether to fold or rather stay in the game.

This is one of the essential factors to gain expertise of Texas Holdem!
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